Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 32.478803 37.376831 42.671325 48.808155 55.713488 63.231077 72.022166
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 24.327576 31.175271 39.282511 49.531486 62.079477 76.874615 95.566804
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 17.970979 25.178908 34.373400 46.835916 63.141943 83.589708 110.984437
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 15.203384 22.914949 33.364270 48.336505 68.973682 96.113962 134.138158
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 13.497845 21.670777 33.333717 50.848767 76.064033 110.552877 160.669796
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 11.194619 19.122658 31.020959 49.715534 77.765126 117.574313 177.425809
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.119335 16.547968 28.253286 47.456117 77.416316 121.432141 189.731432
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.537511 16.267019 28.931431 50.431868 85.022844 137.228942 220.240564
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.300420 16.516673 30.451132 54.828592 95.109075 157.331357 258.365231
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.455164 15.555275 29.817257 55.587611 99.401961 168.773956 283.938050
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.600799 14.441130 28.768845 55.495166 102.218631 177.988677 306.488009
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.740765 13.178721 27.290627 54.465603 103.305074 184.397225 324.830165
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.085074 12.268538 26.432286 54.604529 106.669023 195.185141 351.706643
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.534989 11.499980 25.768631 55.069995 110.719788 207.531596 382.210087
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.714235 9.985835 23.419714 52.042291 108.128811 208.284484 393.164685
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.432600 9.655641 23.449573 53.675102 114.317242 224.752885 432.108661
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.270136 9.582457 24.010975 56.427565 122.840320 245.894012 480.419605
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.826073 8.720688 22.724776 55.184186 123.429919 252.601694 503.340254
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.364206 7.714684 20.963098 52.705431 121.292134 254.039755 516.691632
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.306097 7.801653 21.775403 55.969606 131.142901 278.698066 574.167658
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.332891 8.135374 23.220747 60.788834 144.570555 310.941112 647.388157
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.141025 7.791878 22.946549 61.620371 149.595272 327.109173 690.990769
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 1.924611 7.329237 22.306578 61.519100 152.582021 339.401132 727.761028